Genetic Protection Against Schizophrenia?

Philip Hickey, PhD

On November 12, 2013, Molecular Psychiatry published online Evidence That Duplications of 22q11.2 Protect Against Schizophrenia, by Rees et al.  The print version was published last month – January 2014.

Here’s the authors’ summary:

“A number of large, rare copy number variants (CNVs) are deleterious for neurodevelopmental disorders, but large, rare, protective CNVs have not been reported for such phenotypes. Here we show in a CNV analysis of 47 005 individuals, the largest CNV analysis of schizophrenia to date, that large duplications (1.5–3.0 Mb) at 22q11.2—the reciprocal of the well-known, risk-inducing deletion of this locus—are substantially less common in schizophrenia cases than in the general population (0.014% vs. 0.085%, OR=0.17, P=0.00086). 22q11.2 duplications represent the first putative protective mutation for schizophrenia.”

The idea of a genetic mutation that would protect one from schizophrenia aroused a good deal of interest and enthusiasm.

Schizophrenia Research Forum, for instance, ran the headline Protection From Schizophrenia – Too Much 22q11.2 is a Good Thing on an article dated November 22 2013, and Genetic protection Against schizophrenia on another article on the same date.

The Simons Foundation Autism Research Initiative used the headline Duplication of chromosome 22 region thwarts schizophrenia on a January 2, 2014, piece.

The Rees et al paper has added some impetus to psychiatry’s claim that the condition known as schizophrenia is a genetic disease.  For this reason, I thought it might be helpful to take a closer look at the study.

Let’s start by examining what the authors’ summary actually says.

Copy number variants (CNVs) are essentially sections of the DNA string that contain variations from normal.  The DNA is the “blueprint” of the organism, so variations in the string always have the potential to cause variations in the structure of the organism.

There are two kinds of CNVs: deletions and duplications.  In deletions, a small piece of the normal code is omitted; in duplications, a piece is inserted twice.

When the authors write that a number of CNVs are deleterious for neurodevelopmental disorders, what they mean is that there is an association between having the CNV and having the disorder.  Rees et al focused on the part of the genome designated 22q11.2: a small section near the middle of chromosome 22.


Deletions in the 22q11.2 area are associated with numerous features, ranging both in number and severity.  These features include:  heart disease; palate abnormalities; unusual facial features; learning difficulties; renal abnormalities; hearing loss; autoimmune illnesses; etc…  22q11.2 deletions are also associated with autism and low IQ in childhood, and with “schizophrenia” in later years.  The condition is called DiGeorge syndrome.

About 5% of 22q11.2 deletion syndrome cases are inherited.  The remaining are new mutations, and arise because this DNA region is vulnerable to rearrangement when sperm and ovum cells are being formed.  The precise mechanism by which 22q11.2 deletions cause the various birth defects mentioned above is unknown, but is believed to involve structural anomalies in the embryonic pharyngeal area, which in turn cause defects in the thymus and parathyroid glands.

22q11.2 Duplications

Duplications on 22q11.2 are associated with low IQ, learning problems, psychomotor delays, and growth retardation.  The mechanism by which the duplications produce these problems is unknown.

In addition, duplications on 22q11.2 can be inherited from a parent whose development has been normal, so there is not a clear one-to-one relationship between the syndrome and the genetic duplication.

The Rees et al. Study

The Rees et al study searched for 22q11.2 duplications in a sample of 6,882 individuals who had a “diagnosis of schizophrenia,” and in another group of 11,225 individuals drawn from four non-psychiatric data sets.

Their results are summarized in the table below:

Schizophrenia Controls
Duplication 0 10
No duplication 6,882 11,245
Total 6,882 11,255


On the face of it, this result looks impressive.  Of the 6,882 cases with a “diagnosis” of schizophrenia, there were none that had a duplication on 22q11.2.  And so it might be argued, and indeed is being argued, that the genetic duplication in question protects  one from becoming schizophrenic.

However, if we look at the right side of the table, we see that only 10 individuals out of the 11,255 controls actually had the duplication.  So even if we assume that the study is methodologically sound, and that schizophrenia vs. non-schizophrenia is a valid dichotomy (which, incidentally, it isn’t), it is clear that only a tiny fraction (less than 1 in 1000) of the controls owe their “illness-free” status to 22q11.2 duplication.

This can be seen more readily if the data is viewed diagrammatically as below.  The areas of the circles represent the sizes of the three groups:  those with “schizophrenia” (blue);  the controls (orange); and those with the genetic duplication (white).  All of the latter group fall within the controls’ circle, but are still a tiny part of that group.

Incidentally, Rees et al report that their result is statistically significant (p = 0.017).  What this means is that the way the ten people with duplications are distributed (i.e. 10 in the control group and none in the “schizophrenic” group) has only a 1.7% chance of being a random fluctuation.  In other words, it is probably a genuine skew.  But it is also a very small effect.  The statistical significance of a result is largely a function of the sample size, and is not indicative of the magnitude of the effect.  On the basis of this study, for instance, one could tentatively conclude that there is an association between having the genetic duplication and not having a “diagnosis” of schizophrenia, but that the association is very weak.  The putative protection factor applies to fewer than one person in a thousand.

Rees et al continued their study by obtaining and combining more cases from other CNV data sets.  They obtained 22q11.2 duplication data on an additional 14,256 “schizophrenia” cases and 14,612 controls.  They found essentially the same association, but again the association was weak.

Schizophrenia Controls
Duplication 3 12
No duplication 14,253 14,600
Total 14,256 14,612


Or expressed diagramatically:

[Note:  In this diagram, a small segment (3/15) of the duplication circle should be in the blue circle, but MS Word draw function wouldn’t cooperate.  Or perhaps I wasn’t cooperating with MS Word?]

Next the authors combined the two sets of data to produce the following overall result:

Schizophrenia Controls
Duplication 3 22
No duplication 21,135 25,845
Total 21,138 25,867



[Note: Again, a small section of the duplication circle should be in the “schizophrenic” region.]


Perhaps the most obvious point that needs to be made is that the DNA is the organism’s blueprint, and as such it determines how the organism will be formed (two eyes, two hands, one heart, etc.); the spatial arrangement of these parts; and the material (bone, muscle fiber, etc.) from which these parts will be made.  The DNA determines the organism’s structure.

Links between the DNA and the organism’s activities are always mediated by one or more intervening factors.  This is important in the present context because the condition known as schizophrenia is – by definition – a cluster of activities in which the person engages.

To illustrate this, let’s consider polycystic kidney disease (PKD).  This is a good example, because it is a clear-cut genetic illness caused by cysts in the kidneys.  The cysts block the flow of blood through the kidneys, and, as the cysts proliferate and grow larger, the kidneys are destroyed.

The cysts are caused by a defective gene.  (Actually there are two, possibly three, genes that can produce PKD, but about 80% of cases arise from the gene PKD-1, and for the sake of simplicity, we’ll confine our attention to that.)  A gene, incidentally, is a piece of the DNA string – a piece of the organism’s blueprint.  In polycystic kidney disease, the PKD-1 gene conveys faulty instructions concerning the walls of the tiny tubes (nephrons) in the kidneys.  Instead of calling for ordinary nephron epithelium in these locations, PKD-1 calls for cyst wall epithelium.  And cyst wall epithelium produces fluid which accumulates in, and ultimately destroys, the nephrons and the kidney.

So the gene determines the structure of the nephron wall.  This structure in turn causes the cyst wall epithelium to produce fluid.  This activity is a direct effect of the structure.  Secondly, as the nephrons become increasingly blocked, the kidneys produce less urine.  So, reduced urination is a secondary functional effect of the gene PKD-1.  Thirdly, a child growing up with polycystic kidney disease is, other things being equal, likely to feel sick and under-the-weather much of the time, particularly if the disease has not been recognized and remedial/palliative measures have not been taken.  Such a child, again other things being equal, is likely to be fussier and more tearful than other children, and it is entirely possible that one could find a weak correlational link between gene PKD-1 and childhood fussiness, though, of course, any search for such a correlation will be confounded by the obvious fact that children can be habitually fussy for other reasons.

And from there the causal chain could continue in various ever-weakening directions.  For instance, the child might become somewhat sad and despondent.  Or it could be that the child received extra attention and comforting from his parents and was fairly content, and so on.  Ultimately the outcome is impossible to predict with any kind of precision, and the best we can expect from genes vs. subsequent behavior studies are weak, tenuous correlations.

With regards to the very weak inverse link between 22q11.2 duplication and the condition known as schizophrenia, we can barely speculate as to the nature of the casual sequence, because it is not known how 22q11.2 duplication expresses itself in the organism structurally.  The authors state that 22q11.2 duplication is positively associated in children “. . . with a wide range of psychiatric and behavioral abnormalities . . . including attention deficit hyperactivity disorder and autism, as well as other social and behavioral problems,” and they cite various references in support of this statement.  So what we’re left with from Rees et al is that 22q11.2 duplication is positively associated with low IQ and with various psychiatric and behavioral problems in childhood, but, by contrast, is negatively associated with a “diagnosis” of schizophrenia in adulthood.

A “diagnosis” of schizophrenia hinges on complex social activities that arise relatively late in life, and cannot be direct effects of a genetic anomaly, or even several anomalies.  To illustrate this, let’s go back to the 22q11.2 deletions discussed earlier.  I mentioned that deletions in this DNA segment are associated with various problems, including palate abnormalities.  The palate abnormalities are a direct effect of the gene defect.  One of the palate abnormalities associated with these deletions is cleft palate.  This condition, if not corrected surgically, results in a characteristically strained and nasal speech quality, which in severe cases can be quite stigmatizing.

The cleft palate is a direct effect of the deletion; the nasal speech is a secondary effect of the deletion.

Children with this kind of speech are sometimes mocked and bullied by their peers.  The child might react to this kind of stigmatizing by becoming violent, or by withdrawing socially, or by speaking as little as possible, or in various other ways.  These reactions would be considered tertiary effects of the deletion.  And so on.  Each step in the chain takes us further from the genetic anomaly, and the statistical associations grow commensurately weaker.  In the case of a child who became violent in response to the taunting, it would be stretching the matter to say that the violence was caused by 22q11.2 deletions.  Nor would one conclude that the child’s violent acts were symptoms of a genetic disease.  In fact, conceptualizing the child’s violence or social withdrawal as a symptom of 22q11.2 deletion would generally be considered nonsensical.  And this is true even though the link between the deletion  and the cleft palate is clear-cut and direct.

In the same way, it is simply not tenable to claim that “schizophrenic” behaviors (e.g. disorganized speech) are symptoms of a genetic disease.  This is particularly the case in that correlations between the diagnosis and genetic anomalies are typically very small, and the so-called illness doesn’t usually emerge until age 20 or later.  The effects of any genetic anomalies that might be correlated have had ample opportunity to be modified and shaped by social and environmental factors, and in the absence of a clear and readily understandable link between the “symptom” and a genetic defect, the social and environmental factors are more credible causal constructs.

“Schizophrenia” is not a unified condition.  Rather, it is a loose collection of vaguely defined behaviors.  For this reason, any genetic research done on this condition will inevitably result in conflicting and confusing results.  It’s like looking for genetic similarities in all the people who play scrabble, or cheat on their taxes, or collect postage stamps, or whatever.  If the sample sizes are large enough, one could probably find small effects in all or most of these areas, but no one would conclude from this that these are genetically determined activities.

A person’s ability to learn depends on two general factors:  a) the structure of his brain, as determined by his DNA, and b) his experiences since birth.

One can’t learn to play the guitar, for instance, unless one has adequate neural apparatus, and fingers, both of which require appropriate DNA coding.  But even though a person’s genetic endowment might be excellent in these regards, he will never learn to play unless he is exposed to certain environmental factors.  In the same way, a person whose genetic endowment was fairly marginal might become an excellent guitarist with the correct environmental encouragement and support.

Similar reasoning can be applied to the behavior of not-being-“schizophrenic.”  This behavior involves navigating the pitfalls of late adolescence/early adulthood with a modicum of success, and establishing functional habits in nutritional, interpersonal, occupational, and other important life areas.  Clearly it requires adequate neural apparatus, hence the weak correlations with genetic material, but equally clearly it requires an appropriately nurturing childhood environment, with opportunities for emotional growth and skill acquisition.

Given all of this, it’s not surprising that researchers are finding correlations between DNA variations and a “diagnosis” of schizophrenia, but given the number of links in the causal chain and the multiplicity of possible pathways at each link, it is also not surprising that the correlations are always found to be weak.

It is not my purpose to disparage genetic research.  In my view it is an extraordinarily promising field that holds the potential to find causes and cures for various illnesses.  In the behavioral field, however, it is being overemphasized at the expense of less dramatic, but ultimately more promising socio-behavioral work.  Looking for the genetic causes of behavioral/emotional problems is a bit like studying the blueprint of a car in an attempt to discover why there is a dent in the fender.  This is a particularly apt analogy, in that if one studied a very large number of dents in different vehicles, one would probably discover a weak correlation between the depth of the dent and the thickness of the steel used in the car’s manufacture.  And this thickness would, of course, be shown on the car’s blueprint.  So there will be a small correlation between an entry on the blueprint and the size of the dent, and this is analogous to the small correlations found between genes and subsequent behavioral problems.

But if we truly want to know why there is a dent in the car’s fender, it might be more fruitful to simply ask the owner.

* * * * *

(This post also appears on Philip Hickey’s website, Behaviorism and Mental Health)

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      • I agree with Duane about the great value of your posts Phillip!

        I hope you will write something here soon about the very recent dramatic news that the Trinity College of Dublin research group claims to have found a gene mutation in blood samples, that increases the likelihood tenfold of developing either so-called schizophrenia or bi-polar disorder.

        What struck me as possibly formidable evidence, was the 25,000 person sample size they claim to have used to replicate their original results.

        I imagine some in psychiatry are viewing this research success as finally finding proof of the genetic holy grail, if not the discovery of the map to where it exists.
        Michael Cornwall

  1. Philip,
    I was hoping you could speak to something I find confusing in this, and other, genetic studies of “schizophrenia.” I notice the authors wrote in their introduction, “The first CNV to be unequivocally implicated in schizophrenia was the 22q11.2 deletion, which also causes most cases of DiGeorge and Velocardiofacial Syndromes” (Rees et al., 2014). Here, they cited a paper by Pulver et al., 1994. I was unable to access it, but am curious about their “unequivocal” findings. It has been my understanding that “schizophrenia” is not, technically, a valid scientific concept (Boyle, 2002). If my understanding is correct, it would seem important that researchers not neglect that fact – but the assumption of validity is often casually embedded in researchers’ language, as in the example above. That prestigious scientific journals continue to allow the very unscientific reification of this sloppy construct continues to shock me. Perhaps I am missing something.
    What are your thoughts on this?
    Thanks for the timely article, by the way.

    • Kristojoleen,

      Thanks for your comment.

      I don’t think you are missing something. The individuals embraced by the concept “schizophrenia” are firstly, vaguely defined (i.e. different attempts to delineate this population will produce different groupings), and secondly heterogeneous with regards to even the so-called defining features. Because psychiatry is wedded to a medical model, they have to cling to a categorical framework, i.e.: “schizophrenia” is an all or nothing condition – a person either has it or doesn’t have it. And they cling to this even though it’s patently absurd.

      But although there is a great deal of heterogeneity in this “fuzzy” boundaried group, there is, in my view, a common thread, namely a general failure to successfully navigate the transition from childhood to adulthood. And, of course, there are literally dozens (hundreds?) of reasons why this might happen. Most of these reasons – again, in my view – are psychosocial. But it is entirely possible that in a small number of cases, there is some congenital neural deficit, e.g. an underdevelopment of some neural structure that’s heavily involved in acquiring social skills. This is speculative on my part – I really don’t know – but I’d be surprised if something like that weren’t the case. For instance, with regard to VCFS, it may be that these individuals don’t smile much during infancy. A baby’s smile is one of the great reinforcers of parental attention. So you can see where this might go. With regards to Pulver et al, here are the authors’ own conclusions:

      “The high rate of psychosis among the patients with VCFS and their more distant relatives suggests that there may be a gene associated with schizophrenia on chromosome 22q or that a DNA rearrangement in this region may be important to the etiology of some forms of schizophrenia. Studies to test this idea are underway.”

      Note the phrase “some forms of schizophrenia.” This notion is becoming increasingly popular as research routinely fails to find large correlations with any one gene.

      Also, of course, note the word “may” – not quite as unequivocal as Rees et al had suggested.

      What Pulver et al did was study 14 individuals who were, or had been, patients at the Montefiore Center for Craniofacial Disorders (New York, NY). Patients who met the following criteria were invited to participate:

      • Diagnosis of VCFS
      • Over age 15
      • Living in Metropolitan NY and available (i.e. not hospitalized)
      • Willing to participate

      So, as you can see, it’s a very small sample, and it’s not a random selection of 22q11.2 deletion people.

      Participants were examined for a diagnosis of “schizophrenia,” and family members were contacted by phone to see if there were any schizophrenia/psychotic problems in the family.

      From the 14 participants, the researchers diagnosed 3 as “schizophrenic” and one as “schizoaffective.” One of the “schizophrenics” had a third degree relative who was reported to have an “unspecified functional psychosis.”

      In addition, there were two other participants (who had not been diagnosed as “schizophrenic” or “schizoaffective”) who had a total of three second and third degree relatives who reportedly had a history of psychosis.

      So again, hardly unequivocal!

      At most the authors have established that people with “schizophrenia” are probably over-represented in the population of individuals with VCFS. The links to second and third degree relatives seem irrelevant, especially as we don’t know if any of these individuals had VCFS.

      They have not established a causal link to 22q11.2, since a psychosocial explanation is equally plausible. And, of course, the study tells us nothing about the “schizophrenics” who don’t have VCFS.

      I hope this is helpful. Again, thanks for coming in, and best wishes.

      • Thank you so much for your thorough response. Much appreciated! I am relatively new to this field but much of my graduate work focused on the various problems encompassed by supposed “schizophrenia”. As I said, I continue to be shocked by what appears to be a stubborn adherence to this concept in spite of how potentially harmful conventional treatment is.
        I could rant for hours. I will refrain.
        Thanks again.

  2. It is astounding that something having such a tiny correlation relative to the sample size could possibly be considered causal, when something like .01% of the “normal” sample have this particular anomaly. From the data, it’s obvious that this anomaly is neither required nor sufficient to prevent developing “schizophrenia,” since 99.99% of the non-diagnosed population didn’t have the anomaly.

    These guys are so desperate!

    —- Steve

  3. Great article. One small critique: the author makes a common error in his interpretation of the meaning of P values in statistical hypothesis testing. See for more on the problems with this approach to data analysis.

    Bayesian statistics are one approach to hypothesis testing that gets away from the binary significant/not-significant distinction. See

    I expect that a great deal of psychiatric/psychological research rests on similarly flawed statistical analysis.

  4. Thank you for your community service; this is a great article exposing the pseudo-science of another effort to link genetics with behavior.

    The massive quantity of bad “science” in support of the medical model of mental distress is truly amazing. The community can’t be blamed for believing that so many scientific studies can’t ALL be wrong. But they ARE all wrong! The mental health care industry will eventually be embarrassed by how a strong confirmation bias can produce such a large volume of pseudo-science from people who should know better.

    It’s important to challenge the science of the erroneous medical model because it causes so much human suffering; Jay Jacobs’ work is similarly valuable for this reason.

    Thanks again, Steve

  5. Schizophrenia is still not being fully understood by a long shot.

    The first problem at hand is the fact that over 99% of the global population is not in touch with reality. However, due to all such folk being detached from reality in the very same manner, to them, they actually think that they truly are in touch with reality.

    At this time, most folk often still choose to be no more intelligent than an eyeball. Thus in turn they accept whatever the eye tells them, even though they have heard the expression “Seeing is believing.”. After all, one only need practice a belief or disbelief, if one is located at a distance from the truth in the first place, and thus in turn is located within the zone of less than truth.

    But still, such folk stick to their beliefs and disbeliefs and thus stick to being located at a distance from the truth. By maintaining this behavior of limited reach, they are always only willing to accept less than truth.

    For example, they believe that a car can speed up or slow down, yet those who see the truth, via choosing to be smarter than an eyeball, can see that this is absolutely impossible. Following this up with a simple and logical analysis of motion, one soon figures out what’s really going on. In doing so has independently understood Einstein’s theory of Special Relativity and has also independently created all of the SR equations. No education in the field of physics is required to accomplish such a task.

    One need only be in touch with reality. See for proof of such an accomplishment.

    Meanwhile, if a person has what I humorously refer to as a monkey brain, this type of brain absorbs knowledge without questioning such knowledge. It becomes a game of monkey see, monkey believe. Meaning, by accepting without questioning, it is extremely gullible and thus sucks up knowledge just like a dry desert would suck up a massive amount of water. In turn, the person with this kind of a brain quickly moves to the top of the class and soon exits university with several PhD’s in hand. Thus the person has plenty of knowledge, but has limited intelligence.

    Others however, are not gullible, and thus do not simply accept without question. This makes learning a very slow process. In turn, they are soon recognized within the schools as slow backward children that clearly have no academic future to be looking forward too, and it is assumed that such students will most likely drop out of high school. Such words were also spoken to Albert Einstein’s parents by a school teacher during one of his annual student reviews. It was assumed that Albert was mentally challenged. Thus being different, such as being advanced, had been immediately labeled as a form of backward mindedness. Thus the intelligent are seen as quite the opposite of their true being. Einstein, on the other hand, stuck to his guns and proved them wrong. The rest meanwhile, have not been so lucky.

    Meanwhile, if you are an expert in a specific field of one of today’s interests, such as psychiatry, then you are also confined or imprisoned within that zone of expertise. But at the same time, despite your extreme imprisonment, society regards you as being extremely intelligent.

    However, if you focus upon lateral non-conformitive thinking, thus focus upon understanding rather then upon knowing, one can extend ones mind far enough horizontally at base level, to understand the entirety of all reality. But since you have no mountain of knowledge extending upward within some particular field of expertise, society sees you at best, in an insulting manner, as a jack of all trades, and no more.

    Thus the limited but knowledgeable, are regarded as being the intelligent, and the intelligent but not so knowledgeable, are regarded as being the mentally challenged.

    Is schizophrenia simply a mental illness ?

  6. Great post like always.

    One more important thing I would note: We don’t even know if this gene actually plays a protective role at all!

    1% of the population has what we call schizophrenia. That’s 1 in 100. But we only know of 22 people who have that gene. That’s not nearly enough to know what role it plays. We’d need WAY more people with the gene to be able to say anything at all.